Wednesday, July 01, 2009

The Environment in the Age of Obama: Prospects for Reform

The July Media Rants column looks at what we can expect from Barack Obama's administration as regards the environment. Here it is:

On June 16th, the Obama Administration released a report announcing that the effects of global warming are real, occurring in the present, and require immediate action. The report assesses regional impacts of climate change, and concludes that the Midwest will experience increasing heat waves, reduced air quality, more periods of flooding and draught, difficulties in crop management, and other maladies. Jane Lubchenco, undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said that “This report stresses that climate change has immediate and local impacts – it literally affects people in their backyards.”

Did the report’s dire pronouncements dominate the media landscape, even for a few days? Nope. Corporate media coverage paled in comparison to the daily briefings on Jon and Kate’s “announcement.” No surprises there; it takes less journalistic resources to cover the dissolution of a TV marriage than the death of the Earth. If they’d lived in biblical times, today’s news producers would be more interested in Noah’s marital status than the impending flood.

During the presidential campaign of 2008, mainstream media portrayed Barack Obama and John McCain—inaccurately I argued in these pages—as environmental reformers. The mainstream environmental movement strongly supported Obama’s candidacy and continues to be enthusiastic. Indeed, the President’s announcement that environmental policies will be guided by scientific integrity, rule of law, and transparency provides a basis for optimism. Additionally, the Administration deserves kudos for its candor about the reality of climate change. But realistically, what can we expect from the Obama Administration?

Let’s start by looking at Obama’s cabinet appointments, dubbed an environmental “Green Dream Team” by Wisconsin State Rep. Spencer Black (D-Madison). Energy Secretary Steven Chu is a brilliant, Nobel prize winning physicist. He also happens to be a major advocate of nuclear power, which he views as playing a “significant and growing role” in our energy future.
Environmental Protection Agency chief Lisa Jackson is the first African-American to hold that post. She’s tough and competent, but critics of her performance as head of the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection claim she was much too close to industry. The Center For Public Integrity found that Jackson had allowed outsourcing of toxic cleanup in New Jersey, a practice that allows polluters to profit from their own pollution.

Carol Browner, former EPA chief under Clinton, heads the newly created “Energy Coordinator” position. With tons of experience and knowledge of how Washington works (she’s married to Thomas Downey, a former Congressman and now corporate lobbyist), Browner has the ability to move the administration’s environmental agenda forward.

But what is that agenda? On Earth Day, the President himself said that “as we transition to renewable energy, we can and should increase our domestic production of oil and natural gas. We also need to find safer ways to use nuclear power and store nuclear waste.” He’s serious: Interior Department Secretary Ken Salazar refuses to rule out the possibility of expanded offshore drilling for oil and gas. And given the fact that the Obama campaign received hundreds of thousands of dollars from employees of Exelon, the nation’s largest nuclear power plant operator, we should be prepared to hear nukes touted as “green.”

The President does not support a moratorium on the building of coal fired plants, but does promote “clean coal” technology. He’s committed $145 billion for alternative energy over 10 years, which is about 0.1 percent of GDP. By way of comparison, the military budget for 2010 ALONE is $664 billion.

The Obama Administration recently announced a national standard for automobile fuel efficiency, which will go into effect in 2012. The fact that the automobile industry endorsed the standards should send up red flags. Why? Because the executives understand that national standards prevent even more strict action at the state level.

Perhaps the centerpiece of Obama’s environmental program is his proposal for a “cap and trade” program to control industrial greenhouse gas emissions. Critics claim that cap and trade hasn’t worked in Europe and represents a sellout to big industry polluters. Writing in Counterpunch, Jeff St. Clair and Joshua Frank argue that Obama “refuses to consider strict regulation let alone a carbon tax to address the country’s big CO2 emitters. Instead, after intense pressure from the pollution lobby, Obama’s approach to attacking with climate change has been whittled down to nothing more than weak market-driven economics that can too easily be manipulated politically. Polluters will be let off the hook as they can simply relocate or build new infrastructure in places where there are few or no carbon regulations.”

Senator Maria Cantwell (D-Washington) argues that cap and trade could lead to the same type of unregulated Wall Street money-making schemes that fueled the current recession: "I have serious concerns about how a cap-and-trade program might allow Wall Street to distort a carbon market for its own profits.”

After years of disappointment from Clinton and hostility from Bush, the mainstream environmental movement appears happy just to have a “friend” in Washington. The wiser elements of that movement recognize that local grassroots activism, not charismatic politicians in Washington, is what’s needed to save the planet. Backyard problems need neighborhood action, no matter who occupies the White House.

4 comments:

Steve Barney said...

Cap and trade has a good history, according to this lecture by Harvard environmental law professor Jody Freeman. She says that is evident by the success of the US Clean Air Act of 1990, which created a cap and trade trading regime for sulpher dioxide to reduce the problem of acid rain, and that this is viewed as "a DRAMATIC SUCCESS":

Jody Freeman
Harvard Law School
"The Role of Ethics in the Legal Response to Climate Change: Perspectives from Environmental Law"
November 19, 2008
(she makes the quoted statement at ~56:45)
http://web.princeton.edu/sites/pei/ECC/fall08/freeman.htm


Furthermore, cap & trade may be both the most economically painless means of reducing US GHG emissions, and the most socially just and equitable (ethical), from a global perspective, as Peter Singer argued in this lecture:

Peter Singer
University Center of Human Values, Princeton University
"The Ethical Challenge of Climate Change"
September 30, 2008
http://web.princeton.edu/sites/pei/ECC/fall08/singer.htm


The charge that the cap & trade GHG regime under the Kyoto Protocol has not worked in Europe is a misreading of the facts, according to my sources. Granted, it did not work so well at first, but that was because the pollution permits were given away for free. That mistake has been corrected, however, so they are now auctioned off, and Europe's emissions have gone down since then.

Unfortunately, I have heard that, due to compromises in the House, HR 2454 would give 85% of the US pollution permits away for free. That may be its greatest weakness, but I don't know the details. This may be true only at the beginning, as it was in Europe.

On the other hand, HR 2454, as passed, includes a GHG reduction target of 83% below 2005 by 2050, or about 2%/year from 2010 (see section 702). Compare that to business as usual:

"Historically, gross anthropogenic CO2 emissions have increased at an average rate of about 1.7% per year since 1900 ... ; if that historical trend continues global emissions would double during the next three to four decades and increase more than sixfold by 2100."
Source: "Technical Summary," in _Special Report on Emissions Scenarios_, IPCC, 2000
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/emission/011.htm


There is a danger that opposition to cap & trade by the US Greens and some Democrats, as well as nearly all Republicans (climate change is a uniquely partisan issue in the US), and could derail the cap & trade legislation just passed by the US House (HR 2454), and that the consequences would be bad for the global climate change agreement which is supposed to succeed the Kyoto Protocol, which is due to be negotiated in Copenhagen by the end of this year [http://www.un.org/climatechange]:

HR 2454
http://www3.capwiz.com/c-span/webreturn/?url=http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c111:H.R.2454:


As for carbon leakage (polluters moving to nations outside the climate agreement), that may be somewhat of a problem in early years, but the international agreements are supposed to expand their coverage so as to include more and more nations--see:

chapter 13 "Policies, Instruments and Co-operative Arrangements," in IPCC AR4 (2007) WG 3: Mitigation
(Note: Section 13.4.1 addresses city-level initiatives, and cites ICLEI.)
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg3.htm

tony palmeri said...

I don't have time to read Freeman's lecture right now, but I have heard the acid rain analogy before and I think it's a ruse. The progressive Breakthrough Institute is one source showing why:
http://www.thebreakthrough.org/blog/2009/05/cap_and_trade_worked_for_acid.shtml

I think Oscar Reyes, editor of the "Carbon Trade Watch" website, has done the best work on this issue.
http://www.carbontradewatch.org/

I find it shocking, after the economic upheaval of the last several decades, that anyone who claims to care about saving the planet could endorse any kind of "market based" solution.

Not only Maria Cantwell (who I would call a moderate Democrat), but genuine progressive like Dennis Kucinich and Peter DeFazio have "smelled the rat" on cap and trade. DeFazio wrote an op-ed earlier this year that explores the key issues:
http://www.oregonlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2009/01/the_wrong_road_to_reducing_emi.html

Steve Barney said...

You can't read the lectures by Freeman and Singer at the links I cited in my previous comment, but you can view them in streaming video.

Steve Barney said...

I must admit, I really don't know what the best climate policies are, but we've got to get going. It's a difficult problem, but we've got to do the best we can. We'll learn by doing, and we'll learn from our mistakes, but we've got to get going.